Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.012972 0.015973 0.019843 0.025350 0.033252 0.044653 0.063346
2024-10-06 0.009443 0.012704 0.017517 0.025622 0.040110 0.068011 0.137361
2024-10-13 0.007316 0.010319 0.015096 0.023989 0.042339 0.086142 0.245495
2024-10-20 0.006176 0.009036 0.013865 0.023638 0.046561 0.114322 0.509489
2024-10-27 0.005622 0.008533 0.013752 0.025297 0.056641 0.178734 1.841807
2024-11-03 0.005234 0.008210 0.013849 0.027439 0.070372 0.303803 23.687070
2024-11-10 0.004923 0.007951 0.013987 0.029762 0.087988 0.566247 NaN
2024-11-17 0.004486 0.007376 0.013323 0.029698 0.096976 0.876314 NaN
2024-11-24 0.004091 0.006822 0.012581 0.029122 0.103540 1.321280 NaN
2024-12-01 0.003641 0.006101 0.011332 0.026586 0.097523 1.435981 NaN
2024-12-08 0.003308 0.005580 0.010469 0.025016 0.095882 1.757808 NaN
2024-12-15 0.003095 0.005277 0.010065 0.024815 0.102720 2.950525 NaN
2024-12-22 0.002980 0.005189 0.010224 0.026848 0.131227 16.430996 NaN
2024-12-29 0.002790 0.004923 0.009902 0.027100 0.149009 182.499091 NaN
2025-01-05 0.002546 0.004510 0.009132 0.025334 0.145014 1126.875432 NaN
2025-01-12 0.002383 0.004259 0.008743 0.024955 0.155894 NaN NaN
2025-01-19 0.002313 0.004202 0.008858 0.026747 0.201119 NaN NaN
2025-01-26 0.002260 0.004175 0.009053 0.029065 0.273621 NaN NaN
2025-02-02 0.002210 0.004150 0.009247 0.031586 0.383982 NaN NaN
2025-02-09 0.002101 0.003975 0.008967 0.031516 0.436200 NaN NaN
2025-02-16 0.001991 0.003785 0.008613 0.030891 0.471197 NaN NaN
2025-02-23 0.001845 0.003499 0.007927 0.028141 0.408462 NaN NaN
2025-03-02 0.001731 0.003284 0.007443 0.026443 0.385113 NaN NaN